Friday-Saturday, June 12-13, 2009
Cripps Conference Centre at Magdalene College
University of Cambridge, Cambridge, U.K.

The International Conference on Open Risk Analysis (ICORA) will be held on Friday-Saturday, June 12-13, at the Cripps Conference Centre at Magdalene College, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, U.K. The dates for ICORA closely follow the Second Annual Global Earthquake Model Annual Meeting (Munich, 8-11 June, 2009), and precede the Second International Workshop on Disaster Casualties (Cambridge, UK, 15-16 June 2009). ICORA participation will include researchers from Europe, the USA and Japan, from a variety of hazards, risk and finance backgrounds ・please see the attached preliminary program.

The first Workshop on Open Risk Analysis (ORA) was held at the California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, California in February 2007, with attendance from over 50 experts from six countries. The Workshop was the founding meeting of the Alliance for Global Open Risk Analysis (AGORA), in which current trends and future research needs for Open Risk Analysis were identified. Presentations from that Workshop are available at Since that time, AGORA has grown to a membership of several hundred people active in the field of ORA.

The Conference will include presentations on:

  • current initiatives in ORA
  • the OpenRiskSM, GEM and other software initiatives
  • open data interchange needs
  • Vulnerability data collection and databases (OpenROVER, U. Cambridge Vuln. Database)
  • ORA users and their needs
  • ORA Business Model

The Conference will be held in the Cripps Conference Centre at Magdalene College, University of Cambridge. It will be hosted by the University痴 Centre for Risk in the Built Environment, under the joint chairmanship of Prof Charles Scawthorn (ret., Kyoto University) and Prof Robin Spence (U. Cambridge). The There will be a small Workshop fee of 」100 to pay for meals during the meeting (lunches, dinner on June 12th), and administrative support. Cambridge is 55 miles north of London with rapid train services every half hour. It is also within easy reach of London Stansted Airport.

Limited funding is available for overseas participants.

Registration: GBP 100, email to This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

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Room reservations: Arundel House ( (book early).


12 June 2009 (Friday) Open Risk Needs and Solutions
Robin Spence and Charles Scawthorn
Open Risk Analysis Needs, N. A. Makhutov, Chair
Open Risk Analysis - State of the Art and Needs, Charles Scawthorn, Kyoto University (ret.)
Risk Assessment Needs of Developing Countries, Frances Ghesquiere, World Bank
Open Risk Analysis Needs for Critical Infrastructure, Fred Krimgold, VTU
10:30 Coffee
Global Solutions, Fred Krimgold, Chair
OpenRisk, Keith Porter, U Colorado
Global Earthquake Model, R. Spence, Cambridge Univ. and M. Erdik, Bogazici Univ.
GEM - Middle East Initiative, Mustafa Erdik, KOERI
12:00 Lunch
1:30 Development Open Risk Analysis, C. Scawthorn, Chair
OpaNET, Juoni Tuomisto, Finland Inst. Public Health
Capturing Vulnerability Data, Robin Spence, Cambridge Univ.
Why RMS Supports the Open Source agenda, Robert Muirwood, RMS
3:00 Coffee
Open Risk Analysis Initiatives, K. Porter, Chair
LERA, Dmitry Reznikov, Russan Academy of Sciences
SELENA, Dominik Lang, NORSAR
RiskScape, Andrew King, GNS, New Zealand
CAPRA, Edward C. Anderson, World Bank
Estimation of Losses due to Petroleum related Accidents, A. Chirkova, Ufa State Tech. Univ.
5:30 Closure
(Spence and Scawthorn)
7:00 Dinner, Churchill College
13 June 2009 (Saturday) The Future of Open Risk
9:00 Open Risk Analysis Initiatives (cont.), Mustafa Erdik, Chair
Cat Modeling ・Needs of the Insurance Industry, A. Mitchell, Willis Analytics
Modeling Catastrophe in Central America, E. C. Anderson, World Bank
Open Source Modeling of Natural Hazard in Australia, J. Schneider, GeoSciences Australia
Parallel Sessions on Issues for Advancing Open Risk Analysis
User Needs              |             Data Protocols
ORA Business Models | Computational Aspects
1:00 Lunch
2:00 Final Plenary Discussion on the Future of ORA
3:00 Closure

The pdf of the announcement is available at the Downloads.

The 1st International Workshop on Open-source Risk Software, was held at Caltech on 27-28 February 2007.

Following are the presentations from the workshop.